May 2025

How do biases affect China’s intelligence assessments

Biases in intelligence assessments aren’t unique to China, but the country’s political and cultural context amplifies their impact. Take confirmation bias, for instance. Analysts often prioritize data that aligns with preexisting narratives. A 2021 study by the Rand Corporation found that **65% of strategic misjudgments** in East Asian security assessments stemmed from overreliance on historical […]

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